How can Australia qualify for the WTC Final 2027?
In controlLast updated: 12 Sept 2026. Model estimate. Not an official ICC projection.
Australia control their own fate: win enough of their remaining Tests and no combination of other results keeps them out of the top two.
- Current PCT
- 80.00
- Max possible
- 90.91
- Min possible
- 36.36
- Current cut line
- 75.00
Minimum wins required?
To reach the current second-place mark of 75.00 PCT, Australia need at least 9 wins from their remaining 12 Tests, assuming every other match is lost.
PCT after every win count
Australia will play 22 Tests in total. See how many wins it takes to clear the cut.
| Wins | Rest lost | Rest drawn |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 36.36 | 54.55 |
| 1 | 40.91 | 57.58 |
| 2 | 45.45 | 60.61 |
| 3 | 50.00 | 63.64 |
| 4 | 54.55 | 66.67 |
| 5 | 59.09 | 69.70 |
| 6 | 63.64 | 72.73 |
| 7 | 68.18 | 75.76 |
| 8 | 72.73 | 78.79 |
| 9 | 77.27 | 81.82 |
| 10 | 81.82 | 84.85 |
| 11 | 86.36 | 87.88 |
| 12 | 90.91 | 90.91 |
Remaining fixtures
- at: South Africa 1 Test9 Oct 2026
- at: South Africa 2 Test18 Oct 2026
- at: South Africa 3 Test27 Oct 2026
- vs New Zealand 1 Test9 Dec 2026
- vs New Zealand 2 Test17 Dec 2026
- vs New Zealand 3 Test26 Dec 2026
- vs New Zealand 4 Test4 Jan 2027
- at: India 1 Test21 Jan 2027
- at: India 2 Test29 Jan 2027
- at: India 3 Test11 Feb 2027
- at: India 4 Test19 Feb 2027
- at: India 5 Test27 Feb 2027
Frequently asked questions
- Can Australia still qualify for the WTC Final 2027?
- Australia control their own fate: win enough of their remaining Tests and no combination of other results keeps them out of the top two.
- Minimum wins required?
- To reach the current second-place mark of 75.00 PCT, Australia need at least 9 wins from their remaining 12 Tests, assuming every other match is lost.
- How many matches does Australia have left?
- Australia have 12 Tests left this cycle. Winning them all would take their PCT to 90.91.