How can South Africa qualify for the WTC Final 2027?
In controlLast updated: 19 Aug 2026. Model estimate. Not an official ICC projection.
South Africa control their own fate: win enough of their remaining Tests and no combination of other results keeps them out of the top two.
- Current PCT
- 75.00
- Max possible
- 92.86
- Min possible
- 21.43
- Current cut line
- 75.00
Minimum wins required?
To reach the current second-place mark of 75.00 PCT, South Africa need at least 8 wins from their remaining 10 Tests, assuming every other match is lost.
PCT after every win count
South Africa will play 14 Tests in total. See how many wins it takes to clear the cut.
| Wins | Rest lost | Rest drawn |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 21.43 | 45.24 |
| 1 | 28.57 | 50.00 |
| 2 | 35.71 | 54.76 |
| 3 | 42.86 | 59.52 |
| 4 | 50.00 | 64.29 |
| 5 | 57.14 | 69.05 |
| 6 | 64.29 | 73.81 |
| 7 | 71.43 | 78.57 |
| 8 | 78.57 | 83.33 |
| 9 | 85.71 | 88.10 |
| 10 | 92.86 | 92.86 |
Remaining fixtures
- vs Australia 1 Test9 Oct 2026
- vs Australia 2 Test18 Oct 2026
- vs Australia 3 Test27 Oct 2026
- vs Bangladesh 1 Test15 Nov 2026
- vs Bangladesh 2 Test23 Nov 2026
- vs England 1 Test17 Dec 2026
- vs England 2 Test26 Dec 2026
- vs England 3 Test3 Jan 2027
- at: Sri Lanka 1 Test1 Feb 2027
- at: Sri Lanka 2 Test1 Mar 2027
Frequently asked questions
- Can South Africa still qualify for the WTC Final 2027?
- South Africa control their own fate: win enough of their remaining Tests and no combination of other results keeps them out of the top two.
- Minimum wins required?
- To reach the current second-place mark of 75.00 PCT, South Africa need at least 8 wins from their remaining 10 Tests, assuming every other match is lost.
- How many matches does South Africa have left?
- South Africa have 10 Tests left this cycle. Winning them all would take their PCT to 92.86.